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Making GG weekly politics-free again!
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I just woke up, and comparing the map Yoda posted to what's happening now and it's eerily correct. Nearly all the undecided states are still counting votes.
Edited: Wed, 04 Nov 2020 08:01:12
Related, Biden won Nebraska's second district and Arizona, so Nevada + Michigan + Wisconsin will seal the election.
I am even more concerned about election fraud and voter tampering than I was last night. While people were negative about polls in 2016, the bigger errors were largely contained within the rustbelt states, and even then it was a matteer of 3-5 points. Nationally Clinton was +3.9 in polls, and won +2.1.
This year Biden was +8 nationally in polling averages, and is currently ahead roughly +1.8 in the national popular vote. That is almost an impossible level of error. The +1.8 is likely to go up a little, but Biden is still on track to have about the same margin as Clinton, just distributed slightly differently.
Biden has much better favorability ratings than Clinton in 2016. Biden may not generate the most enthusiasm in the world, but people really disliked Clinton, don't hate Biden, and have been really motivated to vote against Trump. Given all that, having essentially the same result as 2016, even with a different electoral college outcome, makes no coherent sense and I think requires more than just "oh, we were a little off weighing the polling samples".
I am even more concerned about election fraud and voter tampering than I was last night. While people were negative about polls in 2016, the bigger errors were largely contained within the rustbelt states, and even then it was a matteer of 3-5 points. Nationally Clinton was +3.9 in polls, and won +2.1.
This year Biden was +8 nationally in polling averages, and is currently ahead roughly +1.8 in the national popular vote. That is almost an impossible level of error. The +1.8 is likely to go up a little, but Biden is still on track to have about the same margin as Clinton, just distributed slightly differently.
Biden has much better favorability ratings than Clinton in 2016. Biden may not generate the most enthusiasm in the world, but people really disliked Clinton, don't hate Biden, and have been really motivated to vote against Trump. Given all that, having essentially the same result as 2016, even with a different electoral college outcome, makes no coherent sense and I think requires more than just "oh, we were a little off weighing the polling samples".
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Tell me to get back to rewriting this site so it's not horrible on mobileCome on Nevada! It's Biden's last chance to reach 270, but it's incredibly tight with Trump trailing by a paltry 8000 votes.
The tension!
The tension!
I considered participating in No Nut November but I've already lost.
travo said:I considered participating in No Nut November but I've already lost.
Why is this even a thing?
Holy crap, and now they're saying Putin might be stepping down as he's rumored to have Parkinson's?? I guess that's the twist ending for 2020 that no one saw coming.
Parkinson's is probably just part of his new persona aimed at the 2024 US presidential election where he plans to run himself!
robio said:Holy crap, and now they're saying Putin might be stepping down as he's rumored to have Parkinson's?? I guess that's the twist ending for 2020 that no one saw coming.
Well holy shit. Wow.
So what was up with Trump's lawyers speech at a lanscaping firm? 

SupremeAC said:So what was up with Trump's lawyers speech at a lanscaping firm?
Lol, I've been laughing about that all day long. Someone totally thought they reserved the Four Seasons hotel. Funnily enough, the Fantasy Island porn shop was right next door.
I read a friend's comment about it. His wife told him about it while he was driving and he almost wrecked because he was laughing so hard. She had to wait until they got home to talk about it again.
Edited: Sun, 08 Nov 2020 11:25:16
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Archangel3371 (3m)
That thing belongs in a Genesis video.